Monthly Archives: December 2023

10 SciFi Predictions for 2024

Yes, my predictions prove false more often than they prove true. But as the adage goes, a scientist is blamed for one falsehood in a hundred truths, while a seer is praised for one truth in a hundred falsehoods. So give this seer a break, will ya?

It’s all a matter of hitting on the right method. I’ve tried crystal balls, tea leaves, tarot cards, astrology, and palmistry, but none of those worked. This year, I realized I should turn to our modern-day version of the Oracle of Delphi—ChatGPT, the artificial intelligence chatbot by OpenAI.

I gave ChatGPT this task: “make 10 predictions about topics or themes science fiction writers will write about in 2024.”

The AI couched its answer by stating that predictions are iffy. Further, it said its last training update occurred in January 2022, so the predictions are based on trends known up to that date. Personally, I think it was just being humble.

With all the caveats out of the way, here’s what we can expect in 2024:

  • AI Ethics and Rights. As artificial intelligence continues to advance, science fiction writers may delve into the ethical considerations and legal rights surrounding sentient AI beings. This could include questions about consciousness, autonomy, and the responsibilities of creators.
  • Climate Crisis Solutions. With an increasing focus on climate change, science fiction could explore innovative and speculative solutions to the environmental challenges facing the planet. This might include technologies to reverse environmental damage or new ways of sustainable living.
  • Neurotechnology and Brain-Computer Interfaces. As developments in neurotechnology progress, science fiction writers may explore the implications of widespread use of brain-computer interfaces. Themes could include mind control, augmented intelligence, and the potential societal impacts of such technologies.
  • Space Exploration and Colonization. Given the growing interest in space exploration, science fiction could continue to explore themes related to interplanetary travel and the challenges of colonizing other celestial bodies. This may include the societal dynamics of living in space and encounters with extraterrestrial life.
  • Genetic Engineering and Biohacking. Advances in genetic engineering and biohacking may lead science fiction writers to explore the consequences of manipulating DNA, creating designer organisms, or even the potential for genetic warfare.
  • Virtual Reality and Alternate Realities. With the evolution of virtual reality, science fiction could depict worlds where the lines between physical and virtual realities blur, exploring themes of identity, addiction, and the consequences of living in immersive digital environments.
  • Post-Pandemic Societies. In the wake of global events, science fiction writers might explore the long-term societal impacts of pandemics, including changes in governance, healthcare systems, and the dynamics of human interaction.
  • Quantum Computing and Reality Manipulation. The advent of quantum computing may inspire science fiction narratives centered around the manipulation of reality, parallel universes, and the consequences of unlocking the full potential of quantum technology.
  • Social Media and Surveillance Culture. With the increasing prevalence of surveillance technologies and the influence of social media, science fiction could examine dystopian futures where privacy is almost nonexistent, exploring themes of control, rebellion, and the impact on individual freedom.
  • Augmented Reality in Everyday Life. As augmented reality becomes more integrated into daily life, science fiction might explore the societal implications of a world where digital information overlays the physical world. This could include themes of information manipulation, addiction, and the consequences of an increasingly connected reality.

Now you know. The oracle has spoken. By ‘oracle,’ I mean, of course, ChatGPT, not—

Poseidon’s Scribe

December 31, 2023Permalink

Looking Back, My 2023 Predictions Assessed

We’ve arrived at that time of year again, when I judge how well I did at this time last year in foretelling the attributes of science fiction books in 2023.

In past years, I’ve tried various techniques, but this time I used a sure-fire method—palm reading. Let’s see how well I did:

  • Prediction: Artificial Intelligence. A continuing trend, yes, but in 2023, we’ll see a twist. Authors will get past the Frankenstein reruns and the cute-robot-is-nobler-than-humans plot. Novels will show us more sophisticated AI, computers with a different order of intelligence, one alien to us.
  • Prediction: Classics redone in LGBTQ. Authors will explore the contours of the LGBTQ realm by rewriting classic tales, but repopulating them with LGBTQ characters.
  • Prediction: Private Space Flight. I jumped the gun, er, rocket, in predicting this for 2022. 2023 is the year we’ll see spaceships funded by billionaires without government involvement, for better or worse.
    • Assessment: It took some hunting, but I found what might be an example. Skeleton Crew by HT Aaron appears to involve private space flight, though I may be wrong about that.
  • Prediction: Terraforming. Once seen as an extension of man’s dominion over Earth, terraforming will show its warts in 2023. We’ll see stories of botched terraforming, opposed terraforming, and weaponized terraforming.

Before you congratulate me on my foresight (I know you were about to), maybe you shouldn’t credit my palmistry skills. What’s really improved is my after-the-fact ability to find books that fulfilled my prophesies. For those prediction assessments that cite only one or two examples, it’s clear I didn’t forecast a major trend.

I made no personal predictions last year about how my own writing would fare in 2023. Probably a good thing I didn’t.

Watch this space next week to see my spot-on predictions for the world of science fiction in 2024. Considering my past track record, the law of averages says you’ll be amazed at the prognosticating prowess of—

Poseidon’s Scribe

December 24, 2023Permalink

Writing Performance Review for 2023

Few people look forward to performance reviews, and I’m not one of them. As an upside, I’m my own boss. Downside—I’m my own harshest critic.

Time to assess my writing for 2023. As in past years, I’m using The Writer’s Performance Review scorecard by book coach, Jennie Nash.

This year, I examined the rating descriptions in greater detail and it resulted in a lower score than in previous years. For each attribute, you rank from one to five. One = below expectations. Two = partially meets expectations. Three = meets expectations. Four = exceeds expectations. Five = far exceeds expectations.

It’s a comparison of actual performance during the year to expected performance. Based on that, a score of three isn’t bad. It means you’re doing what you expected to do. If you scored three in all twenty attributes, you’d get 60.

As my assessment turned out, I did get a 60. Mostly 3s, but also one 5, four 4s, four 2s, and one 1.

That 1 rating applies to “strategic thinking,” and I’ll do more in 2024 to discover the influencers of my genre by checking out podcasts and Youtube videos by reviewers and authors.

I’ve also committed to some corrective actions in the areas rated as 2:

  • Organization and Planning – I’ll use the Pomodoro method to manage my time.
  • Goal Orientation – I’ll follow the Stephen Covey method of setting large goals, then breaking them down into smaller goals, and weekly tasks.
  • Genre Knowledge – I’ll read more books in my genre.
  • Target Audience Knowledge – I’ll spend some time listing characteristics of my ‘ideal reader.’ That’s how I get to know my fictional characters better, so it might work for readers.

As for writing accomplishments this year:

  • My story “Turned Off” got published in The Science Fiction Tarot. 
  • I finished the second draft of one novel, and
  • I made good progress on the first draft of another novel
  • I completed another round of edits on my upcoming short story collection, The Seastead Chronicles, and am hoping for its publication in 2024.

    Most employers and employees keep annual performance assessments private. As both employer and employee, I display mine to the world as a service to other writers.

    May all of us who scribble words have a successful 2024. That’s the New Year’s wish of—

    Poseidon’s Scribe

    December 17, 2023Permalink

    The Amazing Christmas Machine

    Though I usually blog about writing, today I’ll depart from that to focus on a fun historical story for the holiday season.

    Among my late father’s belongings, I found a scrapbook of family history compiled by my aunt. It included an article copied from “A Lake Country Christmas,” Volume 2, 1983, pages 3 and 4. Written by Cindy Lindstedt, the article bore the title “Christmas Memories: The Southard’s of Delafield.”

    It concerns a Wisconsin farming family living in a house with a prominent mulberry tree. The article singles out a man named John Southard (called ‘Papa’) and his children Margaret, Grace, and Bob, during a particular Christmas in 1938 or ’39. Here’s a paragraph from the article:

    “The strangest memory is the day in 1939 when Papa, then in his 70’s and dependent upon a wheelchair to get around, engineered his special Christmas project. With a bushel basket hoop as a foundation, he called for various sizes of wood. The mystified but obedient children complied with his requests, and Papa pounded and puttered. Margaret was asked to cut and paint three plywood reindeer and a Santa and a sleigh. Soon the finished product was unveiled: a Delco-powered, motorized Santa who sent his reindeer “leaping over the mountain” in front of his sleigh, as the large, circular contraption rotated vertically. Although Grace, Margaret and Bob were in their twenties, squeals of delight rustled the branches of the Mulberry tree that day the wonderful machine first rumbled into motion (and many Christmas seasons hence, whenever the invention has been viewed by later generations).”

    Children of today might spend fifteen seconds watching such a machine spin before asking if it made sounds or lit up, then lose interest. During the Great Depression, though, when electrical machinery was rare and expensive, a time before mass-marketed toys, even a crude rotating wheel would entertain a whole family.

    One phrase in the article stood out to me—Delco-powered. Today, we know AC Delco as a General Motors-owned company making automotive parts including spark plugs and batteries. At first, I assumed Papa Southard’s Christmas Machine drew its power from a car battery.

    However, the term ‘Delco-powered’ probably meant something different in the late 1930s, something that would have been remembered in those rural communities in the 1980s when the article appeared. In the decades before electric lines stretched to every remote house, Delco sold a product called “Delco-Light,” a miniature power plant for a farm. A kerosene-fueled generator charged a bank of batteries to run electric equipment inside the home. I believe the article referred to a device like that.

    I’m a little unsure of my relationship to Papa. I had a great-grandfather named John Southard, who lived in that area and would have been about the right age at that time. However, John is a common first name and many Southards lived in that region of Wisconsin. My grandfather wasn’t named Bob (the only son of Papa mentioned in the article). Moreover, my own father would have been seven or eight years old when Papa built the Christmas Machine, and my dad never mentioned it, though he wrote a lot about his childhood.

    Still, it’s interesting to think about a time when a wheelchair-bound tinkerer in his eighth decade would cobble together a mechanical/electrical wheel to entertain his family at Christmas time. Can’t you just hear that motor hum and the wood creak, and see the three reindeer leading the way, pulling Santa’s sleigh up, down, and around?

    Leaving you to imagine that, I’ll wish you a Merry Christmas from—

    Poseidon’s Scribe

    December 10, 2023Permalink

    Would the Julie & Julia Formula Work for You?

    If you’re struggling as a writer, not achieving the success you imagined, Catherine Baab-Muguira has a solution for you. She calls it the Julie and Julia Formula. Does that formula work?

    In a wonderful blogpost on Jane Friedman’s site, Ms. Baab-Muguira described the formula. At its essence, she says “you can reach your dreams by loving another person’s work.”

    Give your obsession free reign, she says, and your book will write itself, fueled—even supercharged—by your passion.

    That formula worked for Julie Powell and her obsession with Julia Child—several books and a movie resulted. It worked for Ms. Baab-Muguira and her obsession with Edgar Allan Poe. It also worked for several other authors whom she lists in her post. I’m happy for the success of those authors, and find it easy to see why the formula can work.

    Most writers choose subjects or settings or genres over which they obsess a bit. But the J&J Formula is more than just ‘write what you know.’ It’s more like ‘channel your passion for another person (often another writer) into a sort of tribute book.’

    The formula can work because:

    • You’re an expert on, and confident about, your subject;
    • Your passion for the subject will infuse your work, creating enthusiasm in the reader; and
    • That same passion will sustain you throughout the writing project, helping you to power through the down times.

    However, just because the J&J Formula sometimes works, that doesn’t guarantee success in your case (nor does Ms. Baab-Muguira claim it will). I believe two factors determine whether the formula will work for you:

    • The popularity of the person (or subject) you’re obsessing over; but mostly,
    • How well you write

    As I said, your obsession will suffuse your writing, resulting in passionate prose. However, if you obsess over someone or something obscure or uninteresting to others, you’ll have to make up for that through truly strong or unique writing. (I’m thinking here of the famous honey badger video).

    Conversely, even if you obsess over a very popular person, poor writing won’t gain you many readers.

    In short, the J&J Formula may work, but don’t think of it as a sure-fire path to mega-sales.

    In my own case, perceptive followers of my blog know of my passion for the novels of Jules Verne. However, you’ll search the best-seller lists in vain for any mention of my name (so far). Is that due to Verne’s obscurity, to my lack of writing talent, to my poor execution of the J&J Formula, or to some defect in the Formula itself? Who knows?

    My own formula, for what it’s worth, comprises four words—write well and often. I believe good writing tends to get noticed. Even if it doesn’t, you’ll be proud of having written it. The J&J Formula may prove a good way for you to write well and often, but it’s not the only way.

    If you’re writing a lot with nothing to show for all that work, give the Julie and Julia Formula a try. Perhaps you’ll succeed with it, as others have. If not, well, you got no rose-garden promises from—

    Poseidon’s Scribe

    December 3, 2023Permalink